Consumer prices in the U.S. rose 0.4% in February and 3.2% from a year ago

Inflation rose again in February، keeping the Federal Reserve on course to wait at least until the summer before starting to lower interest rates.

The consumer price index، a broad measure of goods and services costs، increased 0.4% for the month and 3.2% from a year ago، the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The monthly gain was in line with expectations، but the annual rate was slightly ahead of the 3.1% forecast from the Dow Jones consensus.

A 2.3% increase in energy costs

Excluding volatile food and energy prices، the core CPI rose 0.4% on the month and was up 3.8% on the year. Both were one-tenth of a percentage point higher than forecast.

While the 12-month pace is off the inflation peak in mid-2022، it remains well above the Fed’s 2% goal as the central bank approaches its two-day policy meeting in a week.

A 2.3% increase in energy costs helped boost the headline inflation number. Food costs were flat on the month، while shelter rose another 0.4%.

The BLS reported that the increases in energy and shelter amounted to more than 60% of the total gain. Gasoline jumped 3.8% on the month while owners’ equivalent rent، a hypothetical gauge of what homeowners could get renting their properties، rose 0.4%.

“Inflation continues to churn above 3%، and once again shelter costs were the main villain. With home prices expected to rise this year and rents falling only slowly، the long-awaited fall in shelter prices isn’t coming to the rescue any time soon،” said Robert Frick، corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “Reports like January’s and February’s aren’t going to prompt the Fed to lower rates quickly.”